The impact of Togo’s population growth on international trade in Togo

Abstract

The world's population is constantly evolving, and Togo is no exception, with its population on an upward curve. We are interested in the impact of this growth on the country's economy, and more specifically on international trade. The impact of Togo’s population on international trade needs to be measured in concrete terms, so that we know how to take advantage of the opening up of trade and can make predictions and plans if necessary. This research proposes to model, over the period from 1990 to 2015, the link between the Togolese population and international trade in Togo using a series of simple linear regressions. We found that the relationship between population and imports into Togo is relatively moderate, or even weak, with a significant impact, but that the relationship between population and exports from Togo is relatively strong, without the population being able to help predict the value of exports, all other things being equal.